26,858
个编辑
Probability Table：修订间差异
无编辑摘要
无编辑摘要 |
无编辑摘要 |
||
| 第20行： | 第20行： | ||
**Scalps, but since most traders cannot consistently pick trades with a 70 percent chance of success, they should trade a scalp only if the reward is at least as large as the risk. '''For example, if you believe that a two-point stop is needed in the Emini, take the trade only if at least a two-point reward is reasonable'''<ref>TR book, chapter 25</ref>. | **Scalps, but since most traders cannot consistently pick trades with a 70 percent chance of success, they should trade a scalp only if the reward is at least as large as the risk. '''For example, if you believe that a two-point stop is needed in the Emini, take the trade only if at least a two-point reward is reasonable'''<ref>TR book, chapter 25</ref>. | ||
*If bull BO(of triangle), 70% chance of PB to apex of Triangle<ref>[[Encyclopedia:Major Trend Reversal Down from Higher High|''Encyclopedia:Major Trend Reversal Down from Higher High'']]</ref>. | *If bull BO(of triangle), 70% chance of PB to apex of Triangle<ref>[[Encyclopedia:Major Trend Reversal Down from Higher High|''Encyclopedia:Major Trend Reversal Down from Higher High'']]</ref>. | ||
*70% outside down days closes at lower 1/3 of the range, only 20% closes above middle point<ref>''https://www.brookstradingcourse.com/analysis/emini-big-round-number-magnet/''</ref>. | |||
|- | |- | ||
|60% | |60% | ||
| 第50行： | 第51行： | ||
***Buying below a bull bar that breaks above a bull flag, anticipating a breakout pullback. | ***Buying below a bull bar that breaks above a bull flag, anticipating a breakout pullback. | ||
***Selling above a bear bar that breaks below a bear flag, anticipating a breakout pullback. | ***Selling above a bear bar that breaks below a bear flag, anticipating a breakout pullback. | ||
*60% chance a climactic sell off for 15-20 bars on the open evolves into TR<ref>''https://www.brookstradingcourse.com/analysis/emini-big-round-number-magnet/''</ref>. | |||
|- | |- | ||
|50% | |50% | ||