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| 第54行： | 第54行： | ||
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|50% | |50% | ||
|50% of strong moves on the open reverse.<ref>[[Always in Short]]</ref> | |50% of strong moves on the open reverse.<ref>[[Always in Short]]</ref>FOMC breakout has 50% chance of reversing, like a breakout on the open<ref>https://www.papals.live/index.php?title=20221102&venotify=created</ref>. | ||
|- | |- | ||
|40% | |40% | ||
| 第61行： | 第61行： | ||
|30% | |30% | ||
|An '''average''' MTR setup has about a 30% chance of a small loss, and a 30% chance of a small profit<ref>[[CHAPTER 3 Major Trend Reversal]]</ref>. | |An '''average''' MTR setup has about a 30% chance of a small loss, and a 30% chance of a small profit<ref>[[CHAPTER 3 Major Trend Reversal]]</ref>. | ||
Major bull surprise usually only have 30% chance of a bear trend<ref>https://www.papals.live/index.php?title=20221102&venotify=created</ref>. | |||
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|25% | |25% | ||