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**Scalps, but since most traders cannot consistently pick trades with a 70 percent chance of success, they should trade a scalp only if the reward is at least as large as the risk. '''For example, if you believe that a two-point stop is needed in the Emini, take the trade only if at least a two-point reward is reasonable'''<ref>TR book, chapter 25</ref>. | **Scalps, but since most traders cannot consistently pick trades with a 70 percent chance of success, they should trade a scalp only if the reward is at least as large as the risk. '''For example, if you believe that a two-point stop is needed in the Emini, take the trade only if at least a two-point reward is reasonable'''<ref>TR book, chapter 25</ref>. | ||
*If bull BO(of triangle), 70% chance of PB to apex of Triangle<ref>[[Encyclopedia:Major Trend Reversal Down from Higher High|''Encyclopedia:Major Trend Reversal Down from Higher High'']]</ref>. | *If bull BO(of triangle), 70% chance of PB to apex of Triangle<ref>[[Encyclopedia:Major Trend Reversal Down from Higher High|''Encyclopedia:Major Trend Reversal Down from Higher High'']]</ref>. | ||
*70% outside down days closes at lower 1/3 of the range, only 20% closes above middle point<ref>''https://www.brookstradingcourse.com/analysis/emini-big-round-number-magnet/''</ref>. | |||
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|60% | |60% | ||
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***Buying below a bull bar that breaks above a bull flag, anticipating a breakout pullback. | ***Buying below a bull bar that breaks above a bull flag, anticipating a breakout pullback. | ||
***Selling above a bear bar that breaks below a bear flag, anticipating a breakout pullback. | ***Selling above a bear bar that breaks below a bear flag, anticipating a breakout pullback. | ||
*60% chance a climactic sell off for 15-20 bars on the open evolves into TR<ref>''https://www.brookstradingcourse.com/analysis/emini-big-round-number-magnet/''</ref>. | |||
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|50% | |50% | ||