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移除 226 位元組 、​ 2023年5月19日 (星期五)
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== Chapter 30B ==
== Chapter 30B ==
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==== Three variables - Risk Reward and Probability ====
==== 3个变量 - Risk Reward and Probability ====
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![[File:30B-RRP-2.png|left|thumb|600x600px|Three Important Variables: Not Just Risk and Reward]]
![[File:30B-RRP-2.png|left|thumb|600x600px|Three Important Variables: Not Just Risk and Reward]]
|Three Important Variables: Not Just Risk and Reward
|3个重要变量: 不仅仅是Risk and Reward
Traders always have to consider 3 variables when planning to take any trade:
Traders 在准备入场任何一个交易时,需要考虑3个变量:


* Probability
* Probability
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* Risk
* Risk


早的入场点意味着更小的risk,更大的reward, 但也意味着更低的概率。


Can also think of them as just 2 variables:
晚的入场点意味着更高的概率,但更差的盈亏比
 
* Probability
* Risk/Reward (RR)
 
 
Early entries usually have smaller risk and greater reward (good RR),
 
but lower probability of profit
 
 
Later entries often have more certainty (higher probability),
 
but pay for it with a worse RR because the stop is now far (more risk) and
 
less remaining profit (smaller reward)
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![[File:30B-RRP-7.png|left|thumb|600x600px|Beginners: Afraid of Risk - did not think in terms of probability]]
![[File:30B-RRP-7.png|left|thumb|600x600px|Beginners: Afraid of Risk - did not think in terms of probability]]
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