分類討論:W1P
The 1st pullback after the reversal attempt from a wedge bottom.
General[編輯 | 編輯原始碼]
Among many different variations of MTR, especially HLMTR and LHMTR, there are certain type of setups that have higher chance of success, based on various factors. Thomas Deutschmann had a post Trade the 1st Pullback after a Wedge – the W1P! that explained a concept called W1P that was originally brought up by cadaver. W1P is actually a special case of HLMTR/LHMTRs that cadaver narrowed it down with some specific criterias so that trader can use them to find the best MTR set up, and avoid less-good set ups. More example chart can be found here: https://www.priceactionindicators.com/2020/07/29/trade-the-1st-pullback-after-a-wedge-the-w1p/. (Credit to Thomas Deutschmann)
ChatGPT對以上文字的概括(懶人參考版)
在許多不同的MTR變化中,特別是HLMTR和LHMTR中,基於各種因素,某些類型的設置具有更高的成功幾率。 Thomas Deutschmann在一篇名為「交易楔形後的第一個回撤-W1P!」的帖子中解釋了一個名為W1P的概念,這個概念最初由cadaver提出。 W1P實際上是HLMTR / LHMTR的特殊情況,cadaver通過一些特定的標準將其縮小,以便交易者可以使用它們來找到最佳的MTR設置,並避免不太好的設置。更多示例圖表可以在這裏找到:https://www.priceactionindicators.com/2020/07/29/trade-the-1st-pullback-after-a-wedge-the-w1p/。
Wedge reversal[編輯 | 編輯原始碼]
A Wedge reversal (three or four pushes each with a new extreme) forming at the top or bottom of a trend is probably the most successful setup for a swing trade.
ChatGPT對以上文字的概括(懶人參考版)
楔形逆轉(三到四個推力,每個推力都有新的極端點)在趨勢的頂部或底部形成,可能是擺動交易中最成功的佈局。
Most crucial[編輯 | 編輯原始碼]
A clear trend channel line overshoot and in particular a second overshoot, which essentially makes it a typical PW. It is actually better if the wedge is more climactic than being a "weaker" wedge. By a "weaker" wedge, traders can feel a sense of lacking strength or urgency of both buying and selling. For e.g. on 20230508, the wedge 5-9-13 is a "weaker" form of wedge.
ChatGPT對以上文字的概括(懶人參考版)
在技術分析中,更為重要的是清晰的趨勢通道線超出,尤其是第二個超出。如果楔形走勢更加高潮,則更好,因為交易者會感覺到買賣雙方的力量和緊迫感,從而形成典型的 PW。以20230508的楔形走勢5-9-13為例,它是較為「弱」的楔形走勢。
Strengtheners[編輯 | 編輯原始碼]
The more strengtheners the higher probability of success.
- Strong reversal bar (with an average size), that isn’t overlapping with prior swing low, i.e. the 3rd or 4th push created a clear gap below the prior low, see the gap below 57L and 61H in figure 1.
- Strong entry bar (closed around its high), preferably larger than the reversal bar, for e.g. bar 62 in figure 1.
- The pullback (if any) after the entry bar should not take out the entry bar by more than one tick.
- One push move off the wedge signal bar, that takes out a prior swing point, indicating bulls ability to close the gap quickly, hence strong BP.
- Breakout test of the entry price of the reversal bar during the W1P(1st pullback after the Wedge). In figure 1, the W1P happened at bar 67 but was bought quickly and never get close to bar 62 the entry bar.
ChatGPT對以上文字的概括(懶人參考版)[編輯 | 編輯原始碼]
強勢支撐線越多,成功的概率就越高。圖1中,明顯的間隙下跌和強勁的入場信號可以是成功的跡象,入場信號後的回撤不應超過一點。突破測試形成後,不再接近進入價格。
Weakeners[編輯 | 編輯原始碼]
- Overshoot is small (a tick or two) and there is only one overshoot
- There is an overshoot but it does not look like extreme behavior (W are extreme behaviors)
- The reversal signal and entry bars are weak
The above signs of weakness may imply trend termination into trading range or simply a pullback[1].
ChatGPT對以上文字的概括(懶人參考版)
出現弱勢信號,超調現象輕微,只有一次。反轉信號和入場條形圖也較弱,這些弱勢信號可能意味着趨勢終結進入交易區間,或者僅僅是回撤。
Stop order entry[編輯 | 編輯原始碼]
- buy above the W1P bar using.
- or buy above the bull reversal bar, higher RR but lower probability.
Stop Placement[編輯 | 編輯原始碼]
Either use a bar stop below the W1P bar, or for a higher probability trade (but lower reward/risk) use a stop beyond the wedge reversal signal (bar 61 in above example).