分类:PWT-O

Parabolic wedge top at the open, a type of BXFO, look for ORVD. Typically in a PWT opening reversal, if it is to reverse successfully, it usually goes down in a fairly tight channel for 5 - 10 bars ⚠️ ^[1], if instead it goes 5 or 6 bars and sideways or bounces ("a little breakout"^[2], for e.g. 3 consecutive bull bars with reasonable size, this little breakout will increase the chance of trend resumption up), then it is probably NOT going to be a PWT followed by a strong bear trend (like the one below).

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Below is an example of failed PWTFO, notice that after the PWT, market went sideways instead of a tight bear channel for 5 - 10 bars like the chart above. This reduces the probability of a top, and increases the probability of a trend resumption up ⚠️.

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A lot of times, when you get a parabolic wedge selloff after the buy climax (PWTFO) (when this happens it is also a BDBU pattern at the same time) and it get to LOD, you do get a big reversal up (bounce), market is deciding whether to go for a MM based on the height of the buy climax from the open, or instead either go sideways or bounce in a bull channel (BLCH).

course ES-49A