分類:BGD

出自BPAX Lab
於 2023年5月9日 (二) 13:35 由 Laowu對話 | 貢獻 所做的修訂

Big Gap Down, should be looked as a big BRBCL, i.e. a strong bear BO. 80% chance of at least one reversal in the first hour. The bears want a double top or wedge top on a pullback to near the EMA. The bulls want a double bottom or wedge bottom for an early low of the day. When there is a BGD, odds favor bears:

  • 80%: 85% chance of PB in first 2 hours. 80% chance of at least one reversal attempt in the first hour. (i.e. some kind of TR on the open).
  • 70%: 75% chance trending TR day. 70% chance swing down after 1pm ET.
  • 60%: 65% chance the gap will not close today. 60% chance of swing down in 1st hour.
  • if instead it is going up, often pulls back 50% in wedge bull channel.

Worth to mention, if the gap down is overly big, i.e. a HGD, it increases chance of TRO that lasts a couple hours since it might take that long to get near EMA[1]. Generally, a big gap is a gap that is around the half of the daily range, a huge gap is a gap that is bigger than the daily range.

4 common outcomes[編輯 | 編輯原始碼]

子分類

此分類僅包含以下 1 個子分類。

B

「BGD」分類的頁面

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