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Ninetrans article [https://ninetrans.blogspot.com/2011/05/most-swingable-setups.html The most swingable setups] has a good summary of some good swing choices. Quoted below with minor tweaks: | ''Ninetrans article [https://ninetrans.blogspot.com/2011/05/most-swingable-setups.html The most swingable setups] has a good summary of some good swing choices. Quoted below with minor tweaks:'' | ||
[[分类:SWING]] | [[分类:SWING]] | ||
<blockquote>Until your winning percentage is very high, you should trade only swingable setups in order to be profitable. If you can make +2 or +4 on an A2, that's an average of +3 and if you lose -2 when you are wrong, you still come ahead most of the time even if your success rate is 50%. The most swingable setups are the following: | <blockquote>''Until your winning percentage is very high, you should trade only swingable setups in order to be profitable. If you can make +2 or +4 on an A2, that's an average of +3 and if you lose -2 when you are wrong, you still come ahead most of the time even if your success rate is 50%. The most swingable setups are the following:'' | ||
* [[1PB]]. The 1st pullback of the day. Includes an inside trend bar right after the entry bar as in today ([[20110520]]). This is basically an [[L2]] and when close to the ema acts like an A2 or 2 legged 1PB. | * ''[[1PB]]. The 1st pullback of the day. Includes an inside trend bar right after the entry bar as in today ([[20110520]]). This is basically an [[L2]] and when close to the ema acts like an A2 or 2 legged 1PB.'' | ||
* [[1A2]]. | * ''[[1A2]].'' | ||
** The first A2 of the day. When there is a trend move followed by a 2L pullback, this is very likely to be successful and give a move similar in size to the first leg. | ** ''The first A2 of the day. When there is a trend move followed by a 2L pullback, this is very likely to be successful and give a move similar in size to the first leg.'' | ||
** The first A2 after a reversal. When the price broke above b12 and the ema at b26 and gave a 2 legged pullback, this is a high probability swing setup likely to give 4 points. | ** ''The first A2 after a reversal. When the price broke above b12 and the ema at b26 and gave a 2 legged pullback, this is a high probability swing setup likely to give 4 points.'' | ||
* Any W1P or the first A2 after a W, fBO or any kind of key failure. W1Ps often retrace the entire wedge, so you can hold part of the trade for many points. | * ''Any W1P or the first A2 after a W, fBO or any kind of key failure. W1Ps often retrace the entire wedge, so you can hold part of the trade for many points.'' | ||
All of these are basically the first pullback in a new trend and the only requirement is there is sufficient room for the price to move. A sharp AM trend increases the chances of any of these trades succeeding. If you have more than one reason to take a setup, then you could exit at +2 and +4 rather than +1 and +4.</blockquote> | ''All of these are basically the first pullback in a new trend and the only requirement is there is sufficient room for the price to move. A sharp AM trend increases the chances of any of these trades succeeding. If you have more than one reason to take a setup, then you could exit at +2 and +4 rather than +1 and +4.''</blockquote> | ||