Four Trades off Nine Transitions:修订间差异

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无编辑摘要
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''Obvious reversals are rarer on a given day, but the Wedge reversal is likely to be the most successful. The most important requirement of a Wedge reversal is an obvious overshoot (more than 2t) and especially a second overshoot. It takes some experience to correctly read a good Wedge reversal, but t'''he following signs increase the probability of a W reversal:'''''
''Obvious reversals are rarer on a given day, but the Wedge reversal is likely to be the most successful. The most important requirement of a Wedge reversal is an obvious overshoot (more than 2t) and especially a second overshoot. It takes some experience to correctly read a good Wedge reversal, but t'''he following signs increase the probability of a W reversal:'''''


'''''1. A second overshoot''''' 
''1. A second overshoot'' 


'''''2. A strong reversal bar or a up/down bar that has no overlap with previous bars or''''' 
''2. A strong reversal bar or a up/down bar that has no overlap with previous bars or'' ''overlap with the previous swing point'' 


'''''overlap with the previous swing point''''' 
''3. A strong entry bar (shaved or small tailed trend bar)'' 


'''''3. A strong entry bar (shaved or small tailed trend bar)''''' 
''4. The entry bar low is not taken out by more than 1t'' 


'''''4. The entry bar low is not taken out by more than 1t'''''
''5. A one legged move to ema. (A close above the ema may end up giving an A2 long or'' ''short instead of W1P)'' 
 
'''''5. A one legged move to ema. (A close above the ema may end up giving an A2 long or'''''
 
'''''short instead of W1P)''''' 


''If at least three of the above are present, you can take the first higher low for bullish W or first lower high for bear W since that becomes a W1P. If the reversal bar was weak or W entry or W1P signal looks suspicious for example because its a doji or an overlap or large bar, sometimes you get a two legged W1P.'' 
''If at least three of the above are present, you can take the first higher low for bullish W or first lower high for bear W since that becomes a W1P. If the reversal bar was weak or W entry or W1P signal looks suspicious for example because its a doji or an overlap or large bar, sometimes you get a two legged W1P.'' 
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'''''The following decrease the chances of a successful W1P.''''' 
'''''The following decrease the chances of a successful W1P.''''' 


'''''1. Overshoot is small (a tick or two) and there is only a single overshoot'''''
''1. Overshoot is small (a tick or two) and there is only a single overshoot'' 
 
'''''2. There is an overshoot but it does not look like extreme behavior (W are extreme''''' 


'''''behaviors)''''' 
''2. There is an overshoot but it does not look like extreme behavior (W are extreme'' ''behaviors)'' 


'''''3. W signal and entry bars are weak''''' 
''3. W signal and entry bars are weak'' 


''The above signs of weakness may imply trend termination into trading range or a pullback and resumption.'' 
''The above signs of weakness may imply trend termination into trading range or a pullback and resumption.'' 
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''Breakouts from a trading range are complex and are the hardest to read correctly, especially because most breakouts fail. However, '''there are certain signs of impending breakouts:''''' 
''Breakouts from a trading range are complex and are the hardest to read correctly, especially because most breakouts fail. However, '''there are certain signs of impending breakouts:''''' 


'''''1. A double bottom pullback at the bottom of the range generally means the market may breakout at the top of the range. Similarly a DP at the top implies market will breakout at the bottom.''''' 
''1. A double bottom pullback at the bottom of the range generally means the market may breakout at the top of the range. Similarly a DP at the top implies market will breakout at the bottom.'' 


'''''2. A breakout failure at one end of the trading range may breakout into a trend on the other end of the range, often giving a breakout pullback on the other end.''''' 
''2. A breakout failure at one end of the trading range may breakout into a trend on the other end of the range, often giving a breakout pullback on the other end.'' 


'''''3. A W move and breakout to one end of the trading range may give a failed breakout, which in turn breaks out from the other end of the range.''''' 
''3. A W move and breakout to one end of the trading range may give a failed breakout, which in turn breaks out from the other end of the range.'' 


''In general, its best to trade a breakout pullback after the breakout is successful. If a breakout does not fail after two or three bars then its more likely to give a breakout pullback. If you are a new trader, I suggest concentrating only on A2 till you have mastered it then move to W1P and then to breakouts and failed breakouts.'' 
''In general, its best to trade a breakout pullback after the breakout is successful. If a breakout does not fail after two or three bars then its more likely to give a breakout pullback. If you are a new trader, I suggest concentrating only on A2 till you have mastered it then move to W1P and then to breakouts and failed breakouts.'' 
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