26,858
次編輯
無編輯摘要 |
無編輯摘要 |
||
第13行: | 第13行: | ||
|Bear trending TR | |Bear trending TR | ||
|<small>1</small> | |<small>1</small> | ||
| | |<small>2%</small> | ||
|[[20180801]] | |[[20180801]] | ||
|- | |- | ||
|Bull trend (price well abvoe EMA for most time) | |Bull trend (price well abvoe EMA for most time) | ||
|<small>8</small> | |<small>8</small> | ||
| | |<small>18%</small> | ||
|[[20180321]], [[20180926]], [[20190130]], [[20200429]], [[20200729]], [[20210922]], [[20220727]], [[20221214]] | |[[20180321]], [[20180926]], [[20190130]], [[20200429]], [[20200729]], [[20210922]], [[20220727]], [[20221214]] | ||
|- | |- | ||
|Bear trend (price well below EMA for most time) | |Bear trend (price well below EMA for most time) | ||
|<small>3</small> | |<small>3</small> | ||
| | |<small>7%</small> | ||
|[[20190320]], [[20210616]], [[20221102]] | |[[20190320]], [[20210616]], [[20221102]] | ||
|- | |- | ||
|'''''Total''''' | |'''''Total''''' | ||
| | |''<small>44</small>'' | ||
| | |''<small>99%</small>'' | ||
|''NA'' | |''NA'' | ||
|}''Above table listed all the FOMC days from 2018 to [[20230503]], out of the 44 days, 32 days had typical trading range price action before the FOMC announcement at 2pm ET, '''which is about 72%, knowing this can actually give traders more confidence to buy a reasonable bull reversal setup''', '''or sell a reasonable bear reversal setup during the first half of a FOMC day''', '''especially when there is a strong reversal signal appears within the first two hours'''. For example, on [[20230503]], knowing there are more than 70% chance the first half will be some kind of trading range day, traders can be confident to short below 6 after the [[BX]] 1-5, or buy above 21 for a [[WB]] or 25 for a [[HLMTR]].''[[文件:20230503pa.png|缩略图|903x903px|居中]] | |}''Above table listed all the FOMC days from 2018 to [[20230503]], out of the 44 days, 32 days had typical trading range price action before the FOMC announcement at 2pm ET, '''which is about 72%, knowing this can actually give traders more confidence to buy a reasonable bull reversal setup''', '''or sell a reasonable bear reversal setup during the first half of a FOMC day''', '''especially when there is a strong reversal signal appears within the first two hours'''. For example, on [[20230503]], knowing there are more than 70% chance the first half will be some kind of trading range day, traders can be confident to short below 6 after the [[BX]] 1-5, or buy above 21 for a [[WB]] or 25 for a [[HLMTR]].''[[文件:20230503pa.png|缩略图|903x903px|居中]] |