「10种最常用的BPA价格行为形态之 —— Final Flags」：修訂間差異

*一个比较清晰的趋势 （Trend）

 参考：[[Bookcn:术语表#摆动交易（Swing Trade）]] Zagh</ref><ref>'''At the other extreme is swing trading for a profit that is at least twice as large as his risk. Most of these setups are only 40 to 50 percent certain''' [[Book:CHAPTER 24 Scalping, Swinging, Trading, and Investing]] 我的理解是swing至少2RR，scalp 0.5-1RR。？Zagh</ref>左右，对此我的基本原则是[[TBTL]]，也就是说 一个成功的波段 至少有 10 bars & two legs ([[:分类:TBTL|TBTL]])。 同时， 一个Swing也意味着回报至少是风险的两倍 (这是我对一个成功的波段交易的最低标准）。(Like all trend reversals, the probability of a swing is usually only about 40%. My general goal is 10 bars 2 legs, which means a swing that has at least Ten Bars and Two Legs (TBTL). A swing also means a reward that is at least twice as large as the risk (my minimum criterion for a successful swing). )

60%波段交易<ref>原文swing trading Zagh</ref>的结果都是小幅盈利或小幅亏损，这 也就 意味着它们会相互抵消。追求更高成功概率的交易者通常会等待新的反转方向出现一个强劲的突破，那时，这个波段的成功概率通常为60%或更高，但止损位也会很远，也就意味着更大的风险，但这是这部分交易者为了更高的成功率所必须付出的代价。因为机构是市场上的主要参与者，我们的任何一个卖出或者买入交易，都必须有机构在另外一边相应买入或者卖出，如果一个你想获得更高的成功率，你就必须接受更差的盈亏比。(Sixty percent of the trades result in small wins and losses that usually balance each other out. Traders who want a higher probability usually will wait for the reversal to have a strong breakout in the new direction. At that point, the probability of a swing trade is often 60% or more, but the stop is far away. That increase in risk is the trade-off. There always has to be something in the trade for the institution taking the other side of your trade. If you get great probability, you pay for it with bad risk/reward (reduced reward relative to risk).)[[文件:FF-D.png|缩略图|680x680像素|下跌趋势晚期的 tight trading range 通常是 final bear flag，交易者常会在其下方失败的突破中寻找反转的机会。(A tight trading range late in a bear trend is often the Final Bear Flag. Traders will look for the breakout below to reverse up.)|居中]]