Category:W1P

Zaghyang讨论 | 贡献2023年6月13日 (二) 02:44的版本

The 1st pullback after the reversal attempt from a wedge bottom.

General

Wedges 6.png

Among many different variations of MTR, especially HLMTR and LHMTR, there are certain type of setups that have higher chance of success, based on various factors. Thomas Deutschmann had a post Trade the 1st Pullback after a Wedge – the W1P! that explained a concept called W1P that was originally brought up by cadaver. W1P is actually a special case of HLMTR/LHMTRs that cadaver narrowed it down with some specific criterias so that trader can use them to find the best MTR set up, and avoid less-good set ups. More example chart can be found here: https://www.priceactionindicators.com/2020/07/29/trade-the-1st-pullback-after-a-wedge-the-w1p/. (Credit to Thomas Deutschmann)

ChatGPT对以上文字的概括(懒人参考版)

在许多不同的MTR变化中,特别是HLMTR和LHMTR中,基于各种因素,某些类型的设置具有更高的成功几率。 Thomas Deutschmann在一篇名为“交易楔形后的第一个回撤-W1P!”的帖子中解释了一个名为W1P的概念,这个概念最初由cadaver提出。 W1P实际上是HLMTR / LHMTR的特殊情况,cadaver通过一些特定的标准将其缩小,以便交易者可以使用它们来找到最佳的MTR设置,并避免不太好的设置。更多示例图表可以在这里找到:https://www.priceactionindicators.com/2020/07/29/trade-the-1st-pullback-after-a-wedge-the-w1p/。

Figure 1 - 20221108

Wedge reversal

A Wedge reversal (three or four pushes each with a new extreme) forming at the top or bottom of a trend is probably the most successful setup for a swing trade.

ChatGPT对以上文字的概括(懒人参考版)

楔形逆转(三到四个推力,每个推力都有新的极端点)在趋势的顶部或底部形成,可能是摆动交易中最成功的布局。

Most crucial

A clear trend channel line overshoot and in particular a second overshoot, which essentially makes it a typical PW. It is actually better if the wedge is more climactic than being a "weaker" wedge. By a "weaker" wedge, traders can feel a sense of lacking strength or urgency of both buying and selling. For e.g. on 20230508, the wedge 5-9-13 is a "weaker" form of wedge.

ChatGPT对以上文字的概括(懒人参考版)

在技术分析中,更为重要的是清晰的趋势通道线超出,尤其是第二个超出。如果楔形走势更加高潮,则更好,因为交易者会感觉到买卖双方的力量和紧迫感,从而形成典型的 PW。以20230508的楔形走势5-9-13为例,它是较为“弱”的楔形走势。

Strengtheners

The more strengtheners the higher probability of success.

  1. Strong reversal bar (with an average size), that isn’t overlapping with prior swing low, i.e. the 3rd or 4th push created a clear gap below the prior low, see the gap below 57L and 61H in figure 1.
  2. Strong entry bar (closed around its high), preferably larger than the reversal bar, for e.g. bar 62 in figure 1.
  3. The pullback (if any) after the entry bar should not take out the entry bar by more than one tick.
  4. One push move off the wedge signal bar, that takes out a prior swing point, indicating bulls ability to close the gap quickly, hence strong BP.
  5. Breakout test of the entry price of the reversal bar during the W1P(1st pullback after the Wedge). In figure 1, the W1P happened at bar 67 but was bought quickly and never get close to bar 62 the entry bar.
ChatGPT对以上文字的概括(懒人参考版)

强势支撑线越多,成功的概率就越高。图1中,明显的间隙下跌和强劲的入场信号可以是成功的迹象,入场信号后的回撤不应超过一点。突破测试形成后,不再接近进入价格。

Weakeners

  1. Overshoot is small (a tick or two) and there is only one overshoot
  2. There is an overshoot but it does not look like extreme behavior (W are extreme behaviors)
  3. The reversal signal and entry bars are weak

The above signs of weakness may imply trend termination into trading range or simply a pullback[1].

ChatGPT对以上文字的概括(懒人参考版)

出现弱势信号,超调现象轻微,只有一次。反转信号和入场条形图也较弱,这些弱势信号可能意味着趋势终结进入交易区间,或者仅仅是回撤。

Stop order entry

  • buy above the W1P bar using.
  • or buy above the bull reversal bar, higher RR but lower probability.

Stop Placement

Either use a bar stop below the W1P bar, or for a higher probability trade (but lower reward/risk) use a stop beyond the wedge reversal signal (bar 61 in above example).

子分类

本分类只有以下子分类。

W

分类“W1P”中的页面

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