Category:BGD:修订间差异

来自BPAX Lab
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''Worth to mention,'' '''if the gap down is overly big''', i.e. a [[HGD]], it increases chance of [[TRO]] that lasts a couple hours <s>since it might take that long to get near EMA</s><ref>[[20220913|''20220913'']]</ref>. ''Generally, a big gap is a gap that is around the half of the daily range, a huge gap is a gap that is bigger than the daily range.''
''Worth to mention,'' '''if the gap down is overly big''', i.e. a [[HGD]], it increases chance of [[TRO]] that lasts a couple hours <s>since it might take that long to get near EMA</s><ref>[[20220913|''20220913'']]</ref>. ''Generally, a big gap is a gap that is around the half of the daily range, a huge gap is a gap that is bigger than the daily range.''


== 4 common outcomes after BGD ==
== 80% of days: 4 common outcomes after BGD ==
[[File:BGD 4 Common Patterns.png|thumb|749x749px|alt=|居中]]
[[File:BGD 4 Common Patterns.png|thumb|749x749px|alt=|居中]]
== 20% of days: Trend from the open ==
* BRTFO
* BLTFO
[[Category:Trends]]
[[Category:Trends]]
[[Category:Work In Progress]]
[[Category:Work In Progress]]

2023年8月2日 (三) 15:13的版本

Big Gap Down, should be looked as a big BRBCL, i.e. a strong bear BO. 80% chance of at least one reversal[1] in the first hour. The bears want a double top or wedge top on a pullback to near the EMA. The bulls want a double bottom or wedge bottom for an early low of the day. When there is a BGD, odds favor bears:

  • 80%: 85% chance of PB in first 2 hours. 80% chance of at least one reversal attempt in the first hour. (i.e. some kind of TR on the open).
  • 70%: 75% chance trending TR day. 70% chance swing down after 1pm ET.
  • 60%: 65% chance the gap will not close today. 60% chance of swing down in 1st hour.
  • if instead it is going up, often pulls back 50% in wedge bull channel.

Worth to mention, if the gap down is overly big, i.e. a HGD, it increases chance of TRO that lasts a couple hours since it might take that long to get near EMA[2]. Generally, a big gap is a gap that is around the half of the daily range, a huge gap is a gap that is bigger than the daily range.

80% of days: 4 common outcomes after BGD[编辑 | 编辑源代码]

20% of days: Trend from the open[编辑 | 编辑源代码]

  • BRTFO
  • BLTFO
  1. at least one minor reversal that lasts at least 5 bars.
  2. 20220913

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B

分类“BGD”中的页面

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