Category:BGD:修订间差异
无编辑摘要 |
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第13行: | 第13行: | ||
* BRTFO | * BRTFO | ||
* BLTFO | * BLTFO | ||
[[Category:Work In Progress]] | [[Category:Work In Progress]] | ||
<references /> | <references /> | ||
[[Category:BG]] | [[Category:BG]] | ||
[[Category:GD]] | [[Category:GD]] |
2023年8月11日 (五) 18:26的版本
Big Gap Down, should be looked as a big BRBCL, i.e. a strong bear BO. 80% chance of at least one reversal[1] in the first hour. The bears want a double top or wedge top on a pullback to near the EMA. The bulls want a double bottom or wedge bottom for an early low of the day. When there is a BGD, odds favor bears:
- 80%: 85% chance of PB in first 2 hours. 80% chance of at least one reversal attempt in the first hour. (i.e. some kind of TR on the open).
- 70%: 75% chance trending TR day. 70% chance swing down after 1pm ET.
- 60%: 65% chance the gap will not close today. 60% chance of swing down in 1st hour.
- if instead it is going up, often pulls back 50% in wedge bull channel.
Worth to mention, if the gap down is overly big, i.e. a HGD, it increases chance of TRO that lasts a couple hours since it might take that long to get near EMA[2]. Generally, a big gap is a gap that is around the half of the daily range, a huge gap is a gap that is bigger than the daily range.
80% of days: 4 common outcomes after BGD[编辑 | 编辑源代码]
20% of days: Trend from the open[编辑 | 编辑源代码]
- BRTFO
- BLTFO