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=== Final flags ===
The components of a final flag are

* Trend
* Pullback that is usually mostly horizontal. It can be as brief as a single bar
* Trend is typically close to a magnet (resistance in a bull, support in a bear)
* There are likely other signs of a possible reversal (in a bull, examples include building selling pressure near the top of a channel)

A final flag is a trend reversal pattern that begins as a continuation pattern. Traders expect the continuation to fail and are ready to take a trade in the opposite direction.

Like all trend reversals, the probability of a swing is usually only about 40%. My general goal is 10 bars 2 legs, which means a swing that has at least Ten Bars and Two Legs (TBTL). A swing also means a reward that is at least twice as large as the risk (my minimum criterion for a successful swing).

Sixty percent of the trades result in small wins and losses that usually balance each other out. Traders who want a higher probability usually will wait for the reversal to have a strong breakout in the new direction. At that point, the probability of a swing trade is often 60% or more, but the stop is far away.

That increase in risk is the trade-off. There always has to be something in the trade for the institution taking the other side of your trade. If you get great probability, you pay for it with bad risk/reward (reduced reward relative to risk).
[[文件:10PA Fig4.png|无|缩略图|800x800像素|A tight trading range late in a bear trend is often the Final Bear Flag. Traders will look for the breakout below to reverse up.]]
[[文件:10PA Fig 5.png|无|缩略图|800x800像素|A triangle is a tight trading range. When it forms late in a bull trend, it usually is the Final Bull Flag.]]