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阿布答疑:外汇交易
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原文:[https://www.brookstradingcourse.com/ask-al/forex-trading/ Ask Al: Forex trading] <blockquote>Al回答了一系列外汇交易问题,涵盖了外汇和Emini之间的区别以及更多内容。Al还讨论了创建独立的外汇交易课程的理由。 Al replies to a number of Forex trading questions, covering the differences between Forex and the Emini, and much more. Al also discusses the rationale for creating a separate Forex trading course.</blockquote>'''外汇课程''' 正如你所知,我正在重新制作整个课程,而且有足够多的人要求一个外汇课程,所以我决定继续做下去。所以现在,我同时在做Emini课程,这也基本上和股票、原油和黄金的课程一样——它们都交易得非常相似——而且对于外汇市场来说也差不多一样,但是外汇市场有足够多的小细节让我决定——还有,很多交易者只想看外汇图表;他们不想看Emini图表或原油图表。所以我正在制作一个平行的课程:外汇交易。而且很多图表都是一样的;有很多图表我没有显示价格或时间轴;我只是试着显示柱形图案。所以有很多图表和Emini课程和外汇课程是一样的,但是有足够的差异让我觉得值得有一个外汇课程。 As you know, I’m redoing the entire course, and there have been enough requests for a Forex course that I decided that I would go ahead and do that. So right now, I’m working on both the Emini course, which is also basically the same course as for stocks and crude oil, and gold — they trade all very similarly — and it’s also pretty much the same for Forex markets as well, but there are enough little subtleties about the Forex markets that I decided — also, a lot of traders only want to see Forex charts; they don’t want to see Emini charts or crude oil charts. So I’m making a parallel course: Forex Trading. And a lot of the charts are the same; there’s a lot of the charts I don’t show price or time axes; I’m just trying to show bar patterns. So there are a lot of charts that are the same to the Emini course and the Forex course, but there are enough differences to make it, I think, worthwhile to have a Forex course. Q: 外汇市场和Emini之间的价格行为有显著的差异吗? 没有,但是有一些差异,而且差异足够大,以至于如果你是一个外汇交易者,你可能更喜欢有一个完全关于外汇交易的课程,这就是为什么我在做它。 Q: 对于特殊技能,你需要什么特殊技能来交易外汇吗? 不需要。它基本上和交易原油、股票、Emini一样,但是有一些小差别。 问:我的课程计划是什么? 显然,我想帮助交易者赚钱,希望这门课程能帮助交易者赚钱。例如,在欧元兑美元的许多交易日中,交易区间很小,只有50个点或30个点,如果你要交易外汇市场,你必须进行短线交易才能赚钱。但是,外汇市场真的是非常适合限价单的市场。 很多外汇交易日看起来就像这个图表,非常好。你可以在低点买入,逐步加仓并进行短线交易。但有时候,你会看到大的突破,它们可能会在更高的时间框架上产生大的突破,比如12月3日,欧元兑美元出现了巨大的多头逆转,当时我说“60%的概率我们会得到第二个上涨”,但当天的情况非常激烈,可能要等一个月左右才会开始第二个上涨。但在那一天,买入非常容易。即使在今天的欧元兑美元,我们也有小幅回调的多头趋势。此外,欧元买家的背景非常好。这是五分钟图表。你可以看到你需要买入。如果你要交易,你必须买入。60分钟图表,出现了三次下跌——现在我们有三个阳线高收,可能会有人在下方买入并稍微上涨。240分钟图表,你可以看到楔形。迄今为止没有一个非常好的信号K线,但它看起来可能会反弹。相当紧密的通道TCH,因此——像这样,可能是一个MRV轻微的逆转。 每当我看到这样的逆转——我之前谈到过这个——看向左边。有一个缺口吗?这个条形图与那个条形图重叠了一个点,所以有一个缺口,我们可能必须到达这个MM等距目标,然后才能反弹。但我确实认为,无论是否先进一步下跌,我们都会回到那个缺口。 如果你看这个图表,对我来说它看起来与Emini图表完全相同,可以用相同的方式进行交易。相同的人在交易;高盛,所有大银行,所有大基金。他们都在交易外汇市场。外汇市场是巨大的。事实上,它比股票市场还大。高盛并不害怕交易外汇市场,因为他们在与专门从事外汇交易的公司交易。绝不是这样。高盛将毫不犹豫地交易外汇市场。 ''Q: Are there significant price action differences between the Forex market and the Emini?'' No, but there are some differences and there are differences enough so that if you’re a Forex trader, you might prefer having a course that is entirely about Forex trading, and that’s why I’m doing it. ''Q: For special skills, do you need any special skills to trade Forex?'' No. It’s basically the same as trading crude oil, the same as trading stocks, the same as trading Emini, but there are a bunch of little differences. ''Q: What was my plan with the course?'' Obviously, I want to help traders make money, and I’m hoping that the course helps traders make money. A lot of days in the Euro versus the dollar, for example, in the days there’s sideways and small, 50 pip ranges, 30 pip ranges for most of the day, and you have to scalp to make money if you’re going to be trading the Forex markets. But — and the Forex markets are really good limit order markets.<.p> A lot of Forex days look just like this, and they’re really good. You buy lows, you scale in higher, and you scalp. But other times, you get big breakouts and they can create big breakouts on higher time frame, 60-minute chart, like December 3rd we had that huge bull reversal in the Euro versus the dollar, and at the time I said “60 percent chance we would get a second leg up”. But, the day was so climactic that we may go sideways for a month before that second leg up began. But during that day, it was very easy to buy. Even today in the Euro, we had a small pullback bull trend. Plus, the context is really good for buyers of the Euro right now. This is the five-minute chart. You see that you got to buy. If you’re going to be trading it, you got to buy. And 60-minute chart, three pushes down — now we got three bull bars closing near their highs, probably buyers below and a little bit more up. 240-minute chart; you can see the wedge. Not a very good entry bar so far, but it looks like it could bounce. Pretty tight channel, so — like this, probably a minor reversal. Any time I see a reversal up like this — I talked about this earlier — look to the left. Is there a gap? And this bar overlaps that bar by one pip, so there is a gap and we may have to get down to this measured move projection before we rally. But I do think we’re going to get back up to that gap, whether or not we go down further first. If you look at this chart, to me it looks identical to an Emini chart where you trade it the same. The same people are trading; Goldman Sachs, all the big banks, all the big funds. They’re trading Forex markets. The Forex market is huge. It’s, in fact, bigger than the stock market. And it’s not as if Goldman Sachs is afraid to trade Forex because they’re trading against firms that are dedicated to Forex trading. Not at all. Goldman Sachs will not hesitate to trade Forex markets. '''一个重要的区别''' 我认为外汇交易和Emini交易之间有一个重要的区别,那就是外汇市场有更多的白痴——更多的专家是白痴。还有一档节目——我忘记叫什么了,在CNBC上讲外汇交易的,现在已经停播了。它停播的原因是前提是错误的。每个交易者都会看图表,试图在支撑位或阻力位买入,如果他们在买入,他们会说:“哦,基本面非常看涨。”或者如果他们在卖出,他们会说:“哦,基本面非常看跌。”然后他们会谈论不同国家的央行以及各种基本面的胡言乱语——你知道的,中国经济疲软或澳大利亚有贵金属问题,或者谁知道,挪威——原油价格正在下跌。这纯属胡说八道。那些以这种方式交易的人我认为是傻瓜,我真的不相信他们在赚钱。我当然不相信他们用这种逻辑赚钱。 我认为,如果他们是基于支撑和阻力进行交易的,他们是在赚钱的,而他们确实都是这样做的。但是其他关于“哦,原油价格正在下跌,因此挪威克朗将贬值,澳大利亚元和加元都将受到打击”的胡言乱语。这完全是无稽之谈,对吧?机构已经知道所有这些了。 作为一个交易者,你只关心“有没有突破?突破是否强劲?突破是否会逆转?我们是否处于重要的支撑位?我们是否处于更高时间框架上的支撑或阻力位?市场在支撑和阻力位上的表现如何?”这和其他市场一样。市场基于逻辑运作。你可能不理解这个逻辑,但所有市场都基于逻辑运作。并不是外汇市场、黄金市场、股票市场都有不同的逻辑。不,它们都是理性人行为的代表,因此它们都会有相同数量的价格行为。
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