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交易手册:新手应以停损单入场
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ffSource: [https://www.brookstradingcourse.com/how-to-trade-manual/stop-orders/ Beginners should enter with stop orders] Beginners should only enter with stop orders. He often waits for many bars before he finally finds a trade that he is confident will make him money. He very often then watches the market reverse quickly and stop him out, and it occurs to him that he would have made a profit had he done the exact opposite of his trade. Over time, he comes to accept that it is important to respect the institution taking the other side of every trade because 40-60% of the time, that institution will win and he will lose. That is the nature of trading. During strong breakouts, the probability of continuation can be 70% or higher, but the stop is then far away. Remember, there always has to be a reason for an institution to take the other side. If you have high probability, then it has a big reward relative to risk. Other than during strong breakouts, the probability that the market will move 10 ticks (or any number) up before going down 10 ticks is between 40 and 60% (“the 40 – 60 rule”). If he always goes for a reward that is at least twice as big as his risk, he will have a positive Trader’s Equation. This means that he will make money over time if he manages his trades correctly. 初学者只应使用止损单进入市场。他经常等待很多K线之后才找到一个他有信心能赚钱的交易机会。然后,他发现市场很经常迅速反转并止损出局,同时意识到如果他完全相反地进行交易,他本来可以获得利润。 随着失败的增加,初学者开始不得不尊重与对手盘(机构)的重要性,因为在40-60%的时间里,对手盘(机构)会赢而他会输。这就是交易的本质。在强烈突破时,延续的可能性可以达到70%或更高,但此时的止损位置需离得很远。 记住,机构为何选择与你对立的一方必须有合理的理由。如果有高概率,那么相对于风险来说,回报将很大。除了在强烈突破时,市场在下跌之前先上涨10个点(或任何数字)的概率在40%至60%之间(“40-60法则”)。如果你总是追求回报至少是风险的两倍,那你交易的数学优势就是正向的。这意味着,如果正确管理交易,他将长期获利。 '''注:2盈亏比的胜率通常是40%,剩下的60%亏损则是通过订单管理减小风险。'''
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