查看“Category:70PCP”的源代码

== In Trend ==

== In Trading Range ==

== Others ==

=== Breakout ===
*If a bar is '''exceptionally''' '''bigger''' than other bars(i.e. surprise bar), 70% chance of MM, especially when it has ok FT (at least doji).
*After '''2 or more''' consecutive '''big bull bars''' closing on their highs, and with '''little overlap''', there is 70% chance of at least a MM up<ref>''Course 49A''</ref>.
*If bull is trying to BO above of a triangle, 70% chance of PB to apex of Triangle<ref>[[Encyclopedia:Major Trend Reversal Down from Higher High|''Encyclopedia:Major Trend Reversal Down from Higher High'']]</ref>.
*75% chance the BO above a [[Bull Channel|Bull '''Channel''']] fails within the '''next 5 bars'''.

*Probability of success of 70% or better (reward has to be '''at least half as big as risk''' just to break even):
**Scalps, but since most traders cannot consistently pick trades with a 70 percent chance of success, they should trade a scalp only if the reward is at least as large as the risk. '''For example, if you believe that a two-point stop is needed in the Emini, take the trade only if at least a two-point reward is reasonable'''<ref>TR book, chapter 25</ref>.

=== Day Structure ===
*70% '''outside down days''' closes at lower 1/3 of the range, only '''20%''' closes above middle point<ref>''https://www.brookstradingcourse.com/analysis/emini-big-round-number-magnet/''</ref>.

=== Gap ===
In bull case:
*When big gap down, 75% chance trending trading range day.
*When big gap down, 70% chance of swing down after '''10am'''.

=== Yesterday ===
*If yesterday was climactic, there is 75% chance of trading range for a few hours today.
<references />
[[Category:PCP]]